UFC 283: Lauren Murphy vs. Jessica Andrade odds, picks and predictions
In a women's flyweight bout on the main card, Lauren Murphy and Jessica Andrade meet Saturday at UFC 283 at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 283: Murphy vs. Andrade odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ beginning at 5:30 p.m. ET, with the prelims on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m., and the main card beginning on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m.
Andrade takes the walk to the octagon on a 2-bout win streak since losing to Valentina Shevchenko in a title bout in April 2021. "Bate Estaca" posted a round 1 submission win over Amanda Lemos last time out, and she dropped Cynthia Calvillo in the 1st round via KO/TKO in UFC 266.
Each of Andrade's past 4 fights have resulted in finishes, with 3 victories, including a pair of KO/TKO wins.
The 39-year-old Murphy, a.k.a. "Lucky," posted a unanimous-decision win over Miesha Tate last time out in July. She is 6-1 across her last 7 fights, with 4 victories via decision. Her only loss was by KO/TKO against Shevchenko. She has gone Over 2.5 rounds in 12 of her 13 fights at the UFC level.
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Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:17 p.m. ET.Fight result (2-way line) : Murphy +390 (bet $100 to win $390) | Andrade -525 (bet $525 to win $100)Over/Under : 2.5 rounds (Over -110 | Under -125)Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -101 | No -135)
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Records: Murphy (16-5-0) | Andrade (23-9-0)
Andrade (-525) will cost you over 5 times your potential return, and that's way too expensive to play on the 2-way line. But there is very little chance of the upset here, as Murphy (+390) should knuckle under facing the quick finisher Andrade and a pro-Brazilian crowd.
UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-125) is a decent play. Murphy is a veteran who will make Andrade work, but Andrade hasn't gone past 3:19 of round 2 in six of her past 8 fights. To be safe you could play NO: WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE (-135) but the payout will be a bit lower.
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